Thinking OrangeApr 22, 20203 min readIgnore the Patterns—Drafting is RandomConsider the sex of six babies born in a hospital. Each birth is a random event—whether the first baby is a boy or a girl has no effect...
Thinking OrangeMar 27, 20204 min readReference Points and Prospect Evaluation—It’s All RelativeIt’s officially #draftSZN. Time to start grinding that tape! But objectively assessing talent may be trickier for more than just not...
Thinking OrangeMar 25, 20203 min readThe Endowment Effect and Waiver Transactions: It’s “Add/Add” Not “Add/Drop”Placing waiver claims can not only force pretty agonizing decisions, they can also provide a chance for quirky mental processing to lead...
Thinking OrangeMar 24, 20203 min readWhen Less is More: How to Gain an Edge by Trading for Bad PlayersDecision-making involves lots of complex thought, much of which occurs sub-consciously. These sub-conscious strategies for making sense...