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Locked in Starter? Setting Expectations that Avoid the Small Numbers Trap
Drew Lock was the hardest quarterback to sack in the entire NFL last year. Harder to sack than athletic phenoms Patrick Mahomes, Lamar...
Thinking Orange
Aug 24, 20206 min read
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Ignore the Patterns—Drafting is Random
Consider the sex of six babies born in a hospital. Each birth is a random event—whether the first baby is a boy or a girl has no effect...
Thinking Orange
Apr 22, 20203 min read
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Reference Points and Prospect Evaluation—It’s All Relative
It’s officially #draftSZN. Time to start grinding that tape! But objectively assessing talent may be trickier for more than just not...
Thinking Orange
Mar 27, 20204 min read
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The Endowment Effect and Waiver Transactions: It’s “Add/Add” Not “Add/Drop”
Placing waiver claims can not only force pretty agonizing decisions, they can also provide a chance for quirky mental processing to lead...
Thinking Orange
Mar 25, 20203 min read
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When Less is More: How to Gain an Edge by Trading for Bad Players
Decision-making involves lots of complex thought, much of which occurs sub-consciously. These sub-conscious strategies for making sense...
Thinking Orange
Mar 24, 20203 min read
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